By Dave Hirschman and Ian J. Twombly
METAR: KFDK 1600Z 32020G28 SKC -5/-10 A3010.
You’ve organized a four-airplane tribute flight for a colleague and flying friend who recently passed away, but the weather on the morning of the memorial service is dicey.
A wintertime cold front blew through the Mid-Atlantic 24 hours ago leaving four inches of snow on the ground, subfreezing temperatures, and a blustery 20-knot northwest wind with gusts to 28.
The ceiling and visibility are unlimited and visual flight conditions will prevail for the next 48 hours. But it’s sure to be choppy at low altitude, and runway conditions are problematic.
All four airplanes—two Beech Bonanzas and two Van’s Aircraft RV–8s—are on the ground at Frederick Municipal Airport in Maryland where the memorial service will be held at a large, corporate hangar on the south end of the airport.
Runway 23 has been plowed and deice solvent applied, but there are large patches of ice and braking conditions are reported as 3/3/3, or “fair” at the beginning, middle, and end of the 6,000-foot runway. Worse yet, the METAR shows a direct crosswind (320 degrees at 20 gusting 28). Runway 30—the one you want to use because of the wind conditions—is covered by an inch of fresh snow and closed by notice to air missions.
You’ve coordinated the tribute flight with the air traffic control tower, and you and your fellow formation pilots have practiced the route you’ll fly as well as the “missing man” break in which the number-three airplane pulls up from the group and then turns west to signify the departed pilot’s lone journey.
You meet with the airport manager and learn that crews are about to begin clearing Runway 30 and they expect to be finished 10 minutes before your planned takeoff time. The tribute flight is scheduled to be overhead the memorial service at 1 p.m. sharp, or two hours from now.
You meet with your fellow pilots to decide whether to perform the flight or stand down. Do you:
See our thoughts below: