J.P. Morgan analysts say 2016 could be a very rough year for jet sales. Previous predictions by other analysts indicate the long wait for a full recovery from the 2008 recession will continue this year.
Demand for jets in the United States has been the bright spot, but an erratic stock market raises the possibility of another recession, and that is bad news for jet sales. It could be that jets are immune to rising and falling profits, something that analysts are watching.
Deliveries by major manufacturers disappointed analysts and deliveries might slip this year, if not next year as well. Gulfstream, usually a bright spot, may see deliveries dip this year.
Used aircraft sales were generally unchanged in January, staying even with December levels. There’s little bad news there, but values dropped 2.2 percent, the largest decline in a year. Heavy jets were down as well. Medium and light jets declined modestly.
Flight operations in the United States grew 1.2 percent in 2015, but international operations declined and started off 2016 with a decline.